Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 2.645060e-05 3.163714e-05 0.000037 0.000044 0.000051 0.000059 0.000068
2025-05-11 2.146002e-05 2.842502e-05 0.000036 0.000046 0.000058 0.000071 0.000088
2025-05-18 1.721494e-05 2.501114e-05 0.000035 0.000047 0.000062 0.000080 0.000103
2025-05-25 1.279146e-05 2.049544e-05 0.000031 0.000044 0.000062 0.000083 0.000111
2025-06-01 9.879910e-06 1.740147e-05 0.000028 0.000043 0.000062 0.000087 0.000120
2025-06-08 8.021936e-06 1.543706e-05 0.000026 0.000042 0.000064 0.000093 0.000131
2025-06-15 6.500988e-06 1.369052e-05 0.000025 0.000042 0.000066 0.000097 0.000141
2025-06-22 5.075263e-06 1.181327e-05 0.000023 0.000040 0.000066 0.000100 0.000148
2025-06-29 3.807400e-06 9.929368e-06 0.000021 0.000038 0.000065 0.000101 0.000153
2025-07-06 2.754478e-06 8.179247e-06 0.000018 0.000036 0.000063 0.000101 0.000157
2025-07-13 2.134106e-06 7.138121e-06 0.000017 0.000035 0.000063 0.000104 0.000164
2025-07-20 1.707433e-06 6.405527e-06 0.000016 0.000034 0.000064 0.000108 0.000173
2025-07-27 1.314234e-06 5.727295e-06 0.000016 0.000035 0.000067 0.000115 0.000187
2025-08-03 1.150712e-06 5.605571e-06 0.000016 0.000037 0.000073 0.000127 0.000209
2025-08-10 8.840712e-07 5.063798e-06 0.000016 0.000038 0.000076 0.000135 0.000225
2025-08-17 5.284784e-07 3.983845e-06 0.000014 0.000035 0.000074 0.000135 0.000231
2025-08-24 3.231108e-07 3.251558e-06 0.000012 0.000034 0.000074 0.000138 0.000239
2025-08-31 2.117034e-07 2.806956e-06 0.000012 0.000034 0.000075 0.000143 0.000252
2025-09-07 1.303821e-07 2.396414e-06 0.000011 0.000033 0.000076 0.000148 0.000264
2025-09-14 6.643820e-08 1.937829e-06 0.000010 0.000032 0.000076 0.000150 0.000273
2025-09-21 2.570767e-08 1.484396e-06 0.000009 0.000030 0.000075 0.000151 0.000278
2025-09-28 6.379332e-09 1.084594e-06 0.000008 0.000028 0.000072 0.000150 0.000281
2025-10-05 1.413750e-09 8.668581e-07 0.000007 0.000027 0.000072 0.000153 0.000290